Archive for the ‘Draft’ Category

Jan
1

Monroe vs. Udoh: Better isn’t “Better”

 Monroe vs. Udoh: Better isnt Better

With 6:07 remaining in the game, a hedging Greg Monroe bumps into a dribbling Monta Ellis (whistle sounds). With 4:30 remaining, a hedging Greg Monroe bumps into a dribbling Monta Ellis (whistle sounds).

Look, Greg Monroe’s brilliant young career does not completely consist of knocking knees with undersized shooting guards, but I cite this snippet to illustrate a point: Monroe needs work on the defensive end, especially in situations that require quick foot movement.

Ekpe Udoh–the man drafted one spot ahead of Greg–needs work on the offensive end. Ekpe is often seen, futilely ‘backing down’ a larger player. Somehow he makes his knees jump as his feet stay grounded. If he’s lucky enough to still be dribbling, his elbow vomits up a pushed “hook” shot that usually finds the rim like a metal-seeking missile. He is shooting .388% on field goals this year.

Greg Monroe seemingly scraped Ekpe Udoh when their teams faced off on Sunday. With 25 points on 12 shots, Monroe was the model of offensive efficiency. Soft of touch, his shots can take a nap on the rim before sleepily exiting through the net. Udoh had a pedestrian 10 points, six rebounds. Despite a GSW victory, one draft pick really walloped the guy taken ahead of him.

Except, not quite. Udoh was a +13 for the Warriors, the highest on the club. While it is dangerous to fixate on +/- for one game, this is not an unusual occurrence. Udoh led the team in this category last year, and he’s doing it again. What I elided from my initial box score summary is that Ekpe had four blocks, three steals. What I elided from my game summary is that he was a court-shrinking monster who kept scaring the opposition with arms that whip around like sharpened plane propellers.

While the Pistons’ center was certainly an asset on offense, he had a poor defensive showing on Sunday. Though Monroe had one block to his name, he was a large factor in why the Warriors were so offensively efficient on a night where they went 3-of-15 from behind the arc. Those slow feet have a way of catching up to him. Monroe finished with a neutral -1.

So what does this all mean? Did the Warriors not screw up in taking Udoh? Is Ekpe better than Greg?

Sadly, I (and everyone else) believes the Warriors screwed up in taking Udoh. Apparently these clubs tacitly agree, because Monroe gets twice the minutes. Though strangely, I also believe that Udoh helps the Warriors more on a per minute basis than Monroe helps his team. This is difficult to square, but permit me a trapezoid so we can muddle through.

There are very few offensive talents of Greg Monroe’s caliber, and you can hope for eventual defensive growth from a guy whose standing reach exceeds nine feet. Remember Kevin Durant’s bad plus/minus? A man can change.

More to the point, there are very few offensive players who change the dynamic of a game, who are truly transformative. Offense is less collaborative than defense. As Monta Ellis observers can certainly recall, an offensive play can be just one guy, dribbling. So with fewer actors involved, it is all the more important to have an elite offensive force. While I am not sure if Greg Monroe is this level of talented, he certainly could be. And Ekpe Udoh certainly could not be.

So yes, Udoh is good for so many under-observed reasons. But the Warriors would have to take Monroe if they had a Mulligan. On a per minute basis, Ekpe Udoh may well be better for the Warriors than Greg Monroe is for the Pistons. Unfortunately for Dubs fans, this may not make Udoh “better” than Monroe.


Dec
3

On Stephen Curry and Rudy Gay

 On Stephen Curry and Rudy Gay

A long time ago, I asked Stephen Curry: “Is there any player who you’d love to play with and love to have on the team? One particular guy?”

Stephen ignored the who’d/whom error and quickly said, “Rudy Gay,” as though the choice was obvious.

I asked, “Rudy Gay?” with a cadence that betrayed holy incredulity.

Curry responded: “Definitely. Leave it at that, Rudy Gay.”

He didn’t exactly leave it at that. There was somesuch about Don Nelson’s system and how Rudy would fit in. Again, it was a long time ago.

Now that the Warriors are reportedly inquiring after Gay, I wonder if there is a possible Curry connection. Gay does not seem like a natural fit for Golden State. They have a size deficiency at the 2, and difficulty defending down low. The Memphis small forward addresses neither concern, unless you plan on playing him or Wright against smaller, quicker competition.There is also the matter of Rudy Gay’s giant salary (He will be making 19.3 million in 2015). RG plays like a younger version of current “amnesty” poster boy Rashard Lewis. The irony is that Washington is unlikely to use the amnesty on Lewis, and perhaps that irony would be heightened if the Warriors amnesty a player in order to nab Rashard 2.0.Trading for Rudy Gay makes little sense–almost none, really.
Unless: This move could help keep Team USA teammate Stephen Curry in the Bay. Gay is friends with Curry and shares the same agent as Curry.In the background, Curry has openly, warmly, courted the possibility of playing in Charlotte, where his father calls Bobcats games. Stephen bought a new house in the Charlotte area, one that he plans to make his primary residence. While it seems bizarre to fret over losing your franchise centerpiece to the Bobcats, the Warriors may be in that strange, unenviable position. And while some small market owners tried mightily to curtail player movement in this new CBA, the climate of star departure has not abated. Yet another hypothetical irony: If small market owners’ failure to restrict player movement allowed a big market star to ditch his team for Charlotte.

A Gay-Ellis trade excises Curry’s rival playmaker while bringing a friend. It is a statement of loyalty and faith. The risky downsides would be a) If Curry leaves anyway or b) If Curry isn’t good enough to warrant such maneuvering. I personally believe that Curry is good enough to build around. If you buy that much, then that blurrs the question of, “How do you improve this team?” If a potential bad move keeps Curry in the Bay, is it a bad move?


Jun
10

Klay: Too smart for GSW’s own good?

110304 Klay Thompson 300x225 Klay: Too smart for GSWs own good?

Filed under: I did not like this pick.

Klay Thompson has been a high riser in the draft and it’s literally not hard to see why: The kid plays a beautiful game, he moves with a loping grace that conjures Brandon Roy memories, and the shot can get wetter than dying polar bears. Klay does this while making many a notable court-intelligent decision, choices that likely, heavily influenced Jerry West’s selection.

But, at a career 42.3 % NCAA field goal percentage, this is precisely what worries me about Thompson: He perhaps overachieves on guile and his statistical production could reflect guile’s limitations. The concern is that the Warriors drafted already-realized potential, as opposed to tapping a grower like Kawhi Leonard.

Credit where it’s due, Jerry West is indeed seeing something impressive–at least at the college level. Below, is a tangible example of Klay’s vaguely explained “high basketball IQ” (Thank you to Jim Barnett for highlighting this play). Thompson runs his man into a screen on what looks like a curl. Mid-jaunt, KT cuts in the opposite direction towards an open three. The defender is stuck moving around a screen for a curl that never comes.

Screen shot 2011 06 24 at 2.31.11 AM 300x168 Klay: Too smart for GSWs own good? Screen shot 2011 06 24 at 2.32.01 AM 300x168 Klay: Too smart for GSWs own good? Screen shot 2011 06 24 at 2.32.20 AM 300x170 Klay: Too smart for GSWs own good? Screen shot 2011 06 24 at 2.32.34 AM 300x168 Klay: Too smart for GSWs own good? Screen shot 2011 06 24 at 2.32.56 AM 300x167 Klay: Too smart for GSWs own good?

Swoosh. It’s this kind of action that draws praise from film-gurus like Sebastian Pruiti. I’m equally impressed by his screen-usage, but more than happy to go negative with a positive: If Thompson is this smart, then why aren’t his numbers smarter? This kid certainly knows how to expertly use picks. I’m just not sure that means Golden State is equally good at it.

P.S.

  • What does this mean for Monta? It could mean nothing. Number 11 picks don’t usually become starters (Acie Law was picked at 11, for example).
  • I’m less inclined to be reverent towards Jerry West than many out there. He’s had a great career, but the septuagenarian executive left Memphis in shambles. Sorry to be age-ist, but I like West better as a consultant than an ultimate decision-maker.

Follow @SherwoodStrauss on Twitter

May
3

Warriors at the Draft

NBA Draft1 Warriors at the Draft

With the NBA draft just about a month away, now is as a good a time as any to start looking at prospects. More importantly though, we want to get a feel for players that the Warriors might want to target to help the team improve next season.

In order to do so, I turned to Lucas Shapiro, a scout for Dime; who is usually my go to guy when I require information about upcoming prospects. Enjoy the Q&A.

Two years ago, we had Blake Griffin as our unanimous top choice in the draft and last season it was John Wall. Can we really say that this year we have a unanimous #1 pick?

Continue reading “Warriors at the Draft” »

Dec
6

ESS: Benching Curry for his Sins

nba u scurry1 576 ESS: Benching Curry for his Sins

Tough love?

Stephen Curry did not play well against the Phoenix Suns, and that’s likely why the Warriors lost. And Steph was bench-ridden for much for much of the fourth. From the post-presser:

ESS: “When you sat (Curry) in the fourth quarter, was that a teaching tool, when you were benching him? Or was that a basketball strategy?

Keith Smart: “Anything I do is a basketball decision. I just don’t pinch people for no reason at all. Everything I do is about teaching the game of basketball.”

ESS: “Why does Monta tend to get more playing time than Steph does? In this game, he played the full 48 minutes.”

Keith Smart:
“The man (Curry) got hit in the eye and he wasn’t the same.”

When questioned about his fourth-quarter benching, Curry downplayed the eye and said: “I had a lapse, and I got yanked.”

The lapse was an intercepted pass, followed by a Jared Dudley layup–concurrent with Curry’s foul on the bucket. And there are two schools of thought on how to handle these botched plays:

1. Coach#1: Your young star is screwing up. Bench him till he settles, bench him till he learns.
2. RoboCoach3000: I am robot coach who believes in…regression to the mean. Curry’s poor play is…anomalous…leave him in..play will…rebound…Jeremy Lin just blocked his…own layup.

Obviously, I side with RoboCoach3000. I get why players are yanked after awful plays, but I’m not convinced by such a strategy–especially when the Warriors bench is comprised of discarded scraps from other benches. I know fans love to see a player hooked upon screwing up, but good play isn’t simply about concentration, heart and hustle. Athletes have ebbs and flows, and a flow is more likely to follow and ebb. If an above average player plays below average, a pendulum swing could be in short order.

So when I ask Keith Smart about whether the Curry hook is a teaching tool or basketball strategy, I’m probing his philosophy. Even though the bench played well in Stephen’s absence, it won’t on most nights. As in, Charlie Bell and Jeremy Lin. To bench Curry for isolated bad plays is to sacrifice points in pursuit of teaching him a larger lesson.

Do you favor this tough love approach? I don’t, but I could see why you would.

In other news, Monta Ellis unleashed holy hell from the offensive end. He was also completely over matched against Jason Richardson, which is less his fault than his height’s mistake. You know where this is headed: Monta plus Steph might not be workable long term. Pick your tribe.

Jun
12

Ekpe Udoh Night

ncb i udoh11 576 Ekpe Udoh Night

The weather was bleak, a greying sky that bore no contrast to Oracle’s concrete corrosion.  Inside the stadium, far too many fans bubbled with far too much enthusiasm.  After eons of Cohanese water torture, legions of Warriors supporters persevere like three-eyed fish near a nuclear plant. They simply won’t die, no matter the circumstances. Many have said that sports mean more on the East Coast. That’s a lot of crap.

Two swift stabs killed the collective excitement. First to the stomach–Cousins went to the Kings. Not everybody was sold on DeMarcus, but drafts are about dreaming. We envision the best-case scenario and Boogie can be great. When DC got King’d, some Oracle faithful unleashed pained yelps. Continue reading “Ekpe Udoh Night” »

Jun
0

Eve Of Draft Rumors

From Jonathan Givony (DX) Twitter:

NBA source: There’s a firesale in Golden State & everyone’s available except Curry. Owner trying to make team more attractive for new buyer.
about 7 hours ago via UberTwitter

Hearing more and more that Ekpe Udoh is going 6th to GS. No final decision there but they seem to be leaning that way. Screws everything up
about 4 hours ago via UberTwitter

Also heard that GS has a trade offer on the table to move Gadzuric and Biedrins to Denver for Kenyon Martin. Can’t be done till August 22nd.
about 2 hours ago via UberTwitter

From Marc Spears (Yahoo!) Twitter:

Baylor F-C Ekpe Udoh is now frontrunner for the Warriors 6th pick, NBA source tells Y! Sports. Monroe and Aminu still getting consideration.
about 5 hours ago via TweetDeck

GS impressed w/Udoh’s defense, mid-range j, athleticism, work ethic. Somewhat undersized, but had great workout for GS and arrived in suit.
about 5 hours ago via TweetDeck

From Tim Kawakami Twitter:

Backing the report by @SpearsNBAYahoo, a source w-knowledge of W’s board just confirmed that W’s have Ekpe Udoh rated ahead of Monroe.
about 1 hour ago via web

Multiple sources also confirm reports that W’s have tons of calls out on every player but Curry. My take: Mostly testing water, unless…
40 minutes ago via web

Jun
1

With The 6th Pick In The 2010 NBA Draft The Warriors Select

Greg Monroe

Monroe is the best available big-man in the draft following Favors and Cousins, which for the Warriors would be a nice pick up at #6.  Monroe is the probably the most diverse and multi-faceted big man in the draft which is a huge plus since he’ll be playing for Nellie who hates playing big men who can’t shoot or pass.  Monroe gives the Warriors another young big to add to their collection, provides depth, competition and flexibility to make a move this off-season involving Anthony Randolph or Andris Biedrins.

Interview with Nellie after the Sunday workouts with his thoughts on Manute Bol’s passing and the draft. At the 3:26 mark Nellie talks about Monroe’s passing ability.

Interview with Greg Monroe after Warriors pre-draft workout